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– A CHOICE BETWEEN PROGRESS, STAGNATION AND RETROGRESSION –
John Dramani Mahama(NDC) DR MAHAMADOU BAWUMIA (NPP)
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Abstract
There is no doubt that with some 40 days to the general election, the current political, social and economic situations continue to tense up; with several street protests, labour-induced strikes, or notifications of strike, and increased abuse of citizens’ civil rights by the security forces. The ensuing flux and veiled thrust of post-election violence have presented ordinary Ghanaians with difficult choices regarding the impending presidential and parliamentary elections. These certainly are neither stable nor peaceful times and some moderation would be required.
Recent Afrobarometer surveys and opinion polls released between June and September 2024 revealed that a fifth (20%) of the voting population would prefer an alternative to the current bourgeois neo-colonialist democracy. Eighty-seven per cent (87%) of those surveyed are dissatisfied with electoral democratic governance and said the economy is moving in the wrong direction. This rather pessimistic survey outcome as expressed by the citizenry is not surprising, given the existing bourgeois political ethos, that has not offered the citizenry much in terms of economic development, regarding what was promised them and, thus, genuinely expected socio-political dividends, vis-à-vis what has been delivered, over the last couple of years.
Besides the huge disconnect between perception and reality, which has left a bankrupt economy with a national debt overhang of GHȼ742.0 billion, citizens also have become cynical about any prospects of national recovery and sustainable reconstruction. This is understandable, given that the ruling NPP Government of President Akufo-Addo is unable to service the incurred national debts, especially as interest payments fall due, and has resorted to postponement into the near future, beginning only in 2025. Additionally, there are current expenditure accruals which are not factored as part of the national debt and which persistently lock Ghanaians into an unsustainable debt trap. The truth of the matter is that, as a country, Ghana has been reduced to a status of habitual loan defaulter by the current NPP government, thereby compromising our national pride, sovereignty and enveloping us in dire credibility issues.
The national economy, as a whole, is gone adrift, currently on auto pilot, and caught within dangerous head winds spin. Our executive President is hardly in town and his vice, who is also the head of the economic management team (EMT) is all over town and country campaigning to be elected as substantive President on the ticket of the NPP. Though there have been some reported improvements in monetary policy management resulting in increases in the quarterly rates of growth, these are not translated into visible quantitative development, because they are not led by sectors controlled by Ghanaians; particularly, in the crude oil, gold and such others in the extractive industry. The resultant effect is the prevailing economic quagmire, with its obvious hardships facing majority of Ghanaians, in an ever-rising inflationary environment.
On top of all these, is the existence and prominence of a culture of impudence and arrogance as propagated by the NPP government in its “do nothing” policy stance, regarding the existential threat of illegal gold mining, or ‘galamsey’. The government’s current stance is unnerving and therefore creating distrust and suspicion of its real intents, policies and programmes, in the event its political power is renewed.
Other likely issues to be leveraged by the voting public in making their respective choices will centre on those of accountability and transparency. The main question which is expected to linger on their respective minds is how the public authority given in 2016 and 2020 has been effectively used in the last seven years to fairly, impartially and transparently produce public and other social goods to ameliorate the basic issues of material life and living (i.e., food, shelter, clothing, jobs, health, education and transportation) over the period of NPP government’s tenure. The issue of looting1 and protection of the public purse by politicians and politically exposed persons will also occupy the centrestage in determining the eventual choice in December, 2024.
Introduction
It is reasonable to assume that the primary objective of every political party is to work tirelessly to gain power and form a government that implements practical policies and programmes to improve the lives of citizens. This implies that a political party must have a clear sense of purpose, mission and direction, in order to be taken seriously in its quest for power. In essence, a political party should be guided by a philosophy or a set of core ideas and values that inform its decision making and policy implementation. This philosophy serves as a foundation for the party’s political mandate, ensuring that its actions align with its principles and goals.
In Ghana, the two dominant political parties, as well as the other political formations competing for power have various shades of ideological leanings, ranging from neoliberalism to pseudo-socialism. The two major political parties – New Patriotic Party (NPP) and the National Democratic Congress (NDC) – have distinct ideological leanings. The NPP adheres to neoliberal conservatism, while the NDC identifies as social democrats.
However, the fundamental question remains: which party (NPP/NDC) has demonstrated greater competence in executing its mandate and translating its ideology into tangible outputs and concrete outcomes for the citizens of Ghana, particularly over the last 32 years of multi-party democracy under the 1992 Republican Constitution?
On Saturday, 7 December 2024, Ghana holds its general elections to elect the President and Members of Parliament. As usual, several political parties and independent candidates have readied themselves to partake in the upcoming elections. The NDC’s presidential candidate, John Dramani Mahama, a former president (2012-2017), has demonstrated his democratic credentials by graciously accepting defeat in 2016 and 2020 and ensuring a smooth transition on both occasions. On the other hand, the NPP’s standard-bearer, Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, an Economist, positions himself as a bridge-builder across Ghana’s diverse electorate. Other presidential candidates include John Alan Kodwo Kyerematen, the former trade and industry minister under the incumbent NPP regime, and Nana Kwame Bediako, a real estate magnate.
Given the tightness of the last elections, held in December, 2020, and parliamentary parity, resulting in the first-ever Ghanaian Hung Parliament, the forthcoming general election is expected to be highly competitive, despite concerns over the electoral process and the increasing doubts over the fairness of public institutions, particularly, the judiciary and the security services.
The Tickets
Expectations of the Electorate
Given the gravity of the prevailing economic situation, the Ghanaian voter electorate expects the various tickets to be announced by the different political parties and movements to have the grit to lead and create a new future of confidence in which the material conditions of the Ghanaian people take centrestage. The Ghanaian voter actually expects the ticket to outline the mechanics of building an independent self-reliant national economy where the resources of this country belong to the people of Ghana and are used solely for their benefits. In other words, the voter expects the reconstruction of a society that ensures three square nutritious meals to every Ghanaian within a society in which no Ghanaian goes to bed on an empty and hungry stomach. In addition, the ticket must have the leadership capacity to inspire a new social consciousness and values within fellow countrymen imbued not only by nationalism but also patriotism to take the bull by the horns; to undertake autonomous social and economic reconstruction with less reliance on foreign loans and portfolio investments to finance from within the national economy.
Furthermore, the electorate is looking forward to a ticket which is not desultory, non-cavalier, and not sweet-tongued, but able to lead from the back with all honesty, humility and accountability; yet very enterprising. The ticket should also be well-steeled in international diplomacy, suave, and able to stand up to all kinds of interference from forces of reaction, while protecting and upholding national sovereignty, and non-alignment, within the framework of multilateralism. Furthermore, the ticket should have the capacity to build strong governance and accountable institutions within reviewed constitutionalism. The voter demands higher accountability from all those who want to lead and manage and expects the ticket to reflect that.
The Two Main Candidates
NEW PATRIOTIC PARTY – MAHAMUDU BAWUMIA WITH MATTHEW OPOKU PREMPEH
The presidential candidate of the NPP, Vice-President Mahamudu Bawumia, has selected the current Energy Minister – Matthew Opoku Prempeh; MP – as his running mate. This comes as President Nana Akufo-Addo prepares to step down in January, 2025, having completed the constitutionally allowed two terms. Vice-President Bawumia’s selection of Matthew Opoku Prempeh as his running mate appears to reverse a long-standing NPP tradition where the vice-presidential candidates are appointed from diverse religious and non-Akan ethnic backgrounds, to broaden the appeal of the ticket2. This strategic choice sets the stage for a competitive presidential election between Bawumia, the NPP candidate, and former President John Dramani Mahama, who seeks to reclaim the presidency.
NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC CONGRESS – JOHN DRAMANI MAHAMA WITH NAANA JANE OPOKU-AGYEMANG
The flagbearer of Ghana’s main opposition party – former President, John Mahama – has chosen Professor Naana Jane Opoku-Agyemang as his running mate for the 2024 presidential elections. It is the third time John Mahama will run for Presidency and about Naana Jane Opoku-Agyemang this marks her second time in the vice-presidential role after previously supporting Mahama in the 2020 election. Opoku-Agyemang’s selection is seen as a strategic move to garner votes from women supporters, who represent some 51 per cent of the electorate; as well as gain additional support in the Central Region, where she hails from. If successful, she would become Ghana’s first female vice-president; thereby, breaking new ground for women in politics. With her vast knowledge and background in education, and experience as a former minister in charge of education, Professor Opoku-Agyemang brings a strong skill set to the ticket, and her commitment to empowering women and girls would resonate with voters.
Evaluation of the Tickets
ALHAJI DR. MAHAMUDU BAWUMIA WITH DR. MATTHEW OPOKU PREMPEH (alias NAPO)
Vice-President Bawumia, and presidential candidate of the NPP, is generally seen by most Ghanaians, outside the New Patriotic Party, as a stooge, a bare-faced liar who is economical with the truth. He is also regarded as a man who is not an honest broker, and a lynchpin for the plunderers of the State’s assets. Though he has tried in the last six months to distance himself from his protégé President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo Addo, this perception remains and continues to hurt his campaign.
The greatest asset of this presidential candidate, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, is his alleged economic prowess and economic oratory. He is seen in the NPP grassroot supporters as the best placed candidate to break the eight-year governance cycle, sustain the Danquah-Busia-Dombo tradition and to continue with the Akufo Addo policies. Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from the University of Buckingham, UK, a master’s degree in development economics from Oxford University and a PhD in Economics from Simon Fraser University in Canada. He is an economist and a banker. Between 2006 and 2009, he served as Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Ghana. Subsequently, Dr. Bawumia served for a year as a visiting scholar at the Center for the Study of African Economies, Oxford University. He has also taught Economics in several universities, including Central University in Ghana and Hankamer School of Business in the United States. With his extensive knowledge in Economics, Dr. Bawumia has authored numerous articles and written two books on Monetary Policy and Economic Development.
Candidate Bawumia’s liabilities include presiding over a poorly managed economy, from 2017 to date; despite the fact Ghana posted impressive economic growth and development, in the years prior to 2017. Some of the contributory factors during his tenure as chairman of the Economic Management Team (EMT) included persistent fiscal and budget deficits, Government’s excessive domestic and external borrowing for present consumption, high depreciation of the Ghanaian Cedi, low domestic production in the real sectors of the economy and running inflation. Other liabilities are the pointless digitalization agenda, involving digitization of key sectors of the economy which saw the introduction of a biometrically enabled identity cards, tracking revenues electronically and digitizing access to services. Though the major reasons were to ensure transparency in public services and to curb bribery and corruption, the agenda was not effective largely because people still have to pay bribes to access public services, like passports, driving licenses, or pay extra to clear goods from the ports. Meanwhile, companies evade taxes, while ordinary citizens are burdened with e-levies, COVID-19 taxes, and other onerous taxes! For the first time in the history of the Fourth Republic, Ghana has been ranked 43, out of 100, at The Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) released by Transparency International.
The running mate, Dr Matthew Opoku Prempeh, has not fared any better. To many Ghanaians, his candidacy came as a depiction of callousness, insensitivity and selfishness on the part of the ruling Akufo-Addo’s administration. Hence, he is openly seen as a mannequin or dummy, to appease the party’s Ashanti stronghold. One main reason being the fact that his handling3 of policy matters, as sector Minister, at the Ministries of Education and Energy, portrayed him as rude, mean, crooked and selfish broker on the national stage. He is also seen as a loose cannon, especially as exhibited at his inaugural and post-inaugural platform speeches, which caused grave discomfiture to certain segments of the NPP fraternity and irked anger amongst the larger Ghanaian citizenry with his unprovoked and unguarded attack on Kwame Nkrumah, the first President and founder of the Ghanaian State.
NAPO is not only perceived as insensitive and arrogant, but also ethnocentric and tribalistic. When he took over office as Minister of Education, Dr. Opoku Prempeh is alleged to have sacked almost all top managers who hailed from the Volta Region, claiming they were NDC supporters. His neglect of victims of the Volta Dam spillage goes on to emphasize the former Energy Minister’s perceived tribalistic attitude. During those dreadful moments for over 36,000 victims of the flood, there were calls for the government to make budgetary allocation to cater for tidal waves in the Volta Region. As usual, NAPO dismissed the calls, claiming his constituents had experienced similar ordeals, yet no intervention was rolled out for them. In plain words, NAPO fumed that: ‘How can you the opposition tell me that I should include funding for construction of Keta Sea defence in the budget? Was there budgetary allocation for Kumasi flooding? If Finance Minister includes it, I’ll also lead the Kumasi residents to demonstrate’.
Dr. Matthew Opoku Prempeh had his secondary education at Prempeh College. He proceeded to Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology where he obtained his Bachelor of Science (BSc) degree in Human Biology. He then furthered his studies in Medicine and Surgery at the University of Ghana Medical School.
On the whole, the NPP ticket is perceived as normally flaying its political opponents for referring to the party as enablers of corruption through cliques, cabals, collusion of several actors and players in both the civil and public services. This is understandable, in that while Kwame Nkrumah and the CPP built and left assets, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo is leaving Ghanaians with liabilities and crippling debts. The ticket is considered by most Ghanaians as treacherous to the overall unity of the country.
JOHN DRAMANI MAHAMA WITH NAANA JANE OPOKU-AGYEMANG
John Dramani Mahama is seen by his party colleagues and non-party members as having acumen of foresight. He is believed to be fair-minded, affable and an abstemious person. His tenure and record at the presidency, vice-presidency and as minister at the communication and information ministries further underlined his capability and capacity to offer inconvertible honest leadership, besides executing the sterling job as President of the Republic. He is a strategist, with excellent and measured communication skills, and affectionately called the “nation builder”, by his admirers.
Candidate MAHAMA is often regarded as a people-oriented leader, with a calm disposition and approachable demeanour, visionary and foresighted. He is known to be practical and a person whose charisma, deftness and intellectual acuity cannot be overemphasized. He is a seasoned communicator who always intrigues his audiences with a great sense of humour. Born on Saturday, November 29, 1958, in Damongo, Northern (Savannah) Ghana, he rose through the ranks to become Vice President in 2009. He was born into a family deeply rooted in politics. His father, Emmanuel Adama Mahama, was a dedicated public servant who held various positions, including Member of Parliament and regional commissioner under Ghana’s first president, Kwame Nkrumah. This exposure likely sparked Mahama’s interest in politics from a young age. Following the sudden passing of President John Evans Atta Mills in July, 2012, Mahama assumed the presidency, for which he later contested in the December, 2012 election, won, and to serve a full term until 2017.
During his tenure, Mahama prioritized social and economic projects, focusing on road and housing infrastructure, universal basic education, and healthcare. Some of his notable accomplishments in these sectors include, significant improvements in basic school infrastructure, equitable access to good quality and child-friendly basic education environment, provision of teaching and learning materials, as well as enhanced management and supervision of schools. His focus in the health care programmes included the provisions of modern hospitals, upgrading of district and rural health care facilities and the launch of “ONUADOR”, a national Medical Outreach Programme which involves the deployment of mobile medical vans to provide various medical services to underserved communities.
Candidate Mahama also invested heavily in the area of housing, in a bid to bridge the housing deficit. Examples of these housing schemes are; “Nyame dua” Estates, Keta Sea Defence Settlement Housing Scheme, and Adenta Regeneration Projects, the Saglemi Affordable Housing Project, amongst others. Other achievements include completion and commissioning of the Atuabo Gas Plant and investments in renewable energies, such as the African Plantation Limited Project. He also made numerous contributions in the communications sector as well, championing the development of the National Data Centre, Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) canter, Eastern corridor Fiber Optic Line, and the eTransform Ghana Project.
Despite the heavy focus on infrastructural development during his presidency, candidate John Mahama’s administration came under severe criticism, especially, during his last few years in office. This was occasioned by economic downturn, rising inflation, and persistent electric power outages, commonly referred to as “Dumsor”. It would be recalled that the latter negatively impacted private businesses and individual livelihoods, generally exacting enormous economic losses on Ghanaians of all walks of life.
Professor Nana Jane Opoku-Agyemang, on the other hand, is an accomplished academic and intellectual in her own right. She is a highly experienced and competent individual having managed the University of Cape Coast as Vice Chancellor and served at the education ministry as a cabinet minister. She is fair-minded and serves as role model and mentor to the women of this country. She is an illustrious woman of substance, with immense integrity, resourcefulness and an achiever. She is also a known team player, efficient and capable. Her stoic commitment to building a prosperous Ghana and unquestionable dedication to excellence and service are unparallel. With her profound knowledge, coupled with hands-on experience, as well as her being a prime mover of novel ideas on social development and progress, Ghana can look forward to a period of social progress.
Her many international accolades include, among others, her 2007 presentation at the United Nations Headquarters in New York, during the commemoration of the 200th Anniversary of the Abolition of Slavery and serving as Ghana’s representative on the Executive Board of UNESCO in 2009.
Messaging And Analysis of Manifestoes
As is normally the case, election campaign season does give room for aspirants to promise and even overpromise beyond what they can deliver within resource constrained environment. The present season is no exception. Noting, however, that governance is about setting priorities and addressing them within the resources at the disposal of any government. This section presents the optics, contents and assessment of the messages of the frontrunners or leading Participants in the December, 2024 Presidential elections. A total of eight [8] thematic areas have been selected for our analysis, that follows presently, namely: [1] THE ECONOMY; [2] HEALTH AND EDUCATION; [3] AGRICULTURE AND INDUSTRIALIZATION; [4] ENERGY; [5] GENDER AND SOCIAL PROTECTION; [6] SPORTS AND CREATIVE ARTS; [7] THE ENVIRONMENT AND SMALL-SCALE MINING; and [8] GOVERNANCE AND MEDIA.
The National Democratic Congress (NDC)
So far, the optics and content of the NDC messages on ‘24-hour economy’ (THE), ‘MahamaCare’, ‘Women Development Bank’ and ‘Corruption’ appeared to have resonated more with the voting public; especially, the youth constituency of the electorate. With regard to corruption, it is worth mentioning that between 2012 and 2016, the NDC took a number of remedial actions during the presidency of John Dramani Mahama. This is beside the fact that the bulk of current messages contained in the party’s manifesto revealed nothing on preferential actions to be taken once power is won. An example is legislating publication of assets, and other personal details, duly declared by public officers and politically exposed persons.
The New Patriotic Party (NPP)
As the campaigns heat up, infirmities of the NPP ticket, platform and messages have become visibly recognizable as bland, outrageous and lacking the ability to be implemented.
Unfortunately for candidate Dr. Bawumia, he has earned the unenviable name of being a ‘liar’ and perpetrator of falsehood because he failed woefully to deliver on his promises during his eight-year vice-presidentship. Aside, the NPP base appearing seemingly fractured and fragmented, the optics and contents of platform messages relating to the ‘digitalisation policy’ have not resonated with the voting public. The platforms are further seen to be repetition of the 2016 and 2020 manifestoes which remained unimplemented. The electorate also has accused the ticket of engaging in identity politics, and chicanery.
Analysis Of Four [4] Manifestoes
The schedule that follows contains snippets from the Manifestoes of four (4) of the political entities partaking in the December 2024 Presidential elections. These are: (i) National Democratic Congress (NDC); (ii) New Patriotic Party (NPP); (iii) Movement for Change (MFC); and (iv) The New Force (TNF). While the first two (NDC and NPP) are among the foremost political parties that have been in the forefront of Ghanaian party politics, since the inception of Ghana’s fourth attempt at constitutional governance in 1992; the latter two (MFC and TNF) are recent political formations billed to contest in Ghanaian elections, for the very first time, during the forthcoming December polls. This, in essence, explains why the MFC and TNF either do not feature much, or at all (blank), under a number of the eight [8] thematic areas presented below:
NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC
CONGRESS (NDC)
NEW
PATRIOTIC
PARTY (NPP)
MOVEMENT
FOR
CHANGE (MFC)
THE
NEW
FORCE (TNF)
[1] ON THE ECONOMY
The NDC will, within the first 100 days in office, eliminate several nuisance taxes and levies (such as E-levy, COVID-19 levy, and the 10% levy on bet winnings).
The NPP commits to achieving sustained growth by promoting agribusiness, 1D1F (One District, One Factory), mining, and digital services.
The MFC plans to focus on building an Enterprise Economy that prioritizes innovation, entrepreneurship, and private sector growth.
The TNF intends to mobilize the global African diaspora to invest in Ghana by offering them citizenship in exchange for financial contributions.
The party will also reduce import duties on vehicles and equipment used in industrial and agricultural sectors in addition to lowering the cost of doing business while encouraging investment in key sectors.
The party will employ the instrument of increasing Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) to finance and enhance infrastructural projects. In addition, it will leverage green financing for development.
The MFC will lay emphasis on job creation through industrial transformation (such as vehicle assembly and pharmaceuticals) while diversifying away from the dependency on cocoa.
The above strategy is to generate USD 50 billion in investments, contributing to Ghana’s economic growth and fostering pan-African collaboration.
The NDC will
further stabilizes the national currency, employing measures such as building external reserves, strengthening public debt management, and attracting foreign investment.
The party will undertake wide-ranging tax reforms, including a onetime tax amnesty for individuals and businesses, introducing a flat rate tax system, reducing withholding tax on small-scale gold exports.
Regarding tax reforms, the MFC’s plan includes many attractive short-term reforms, such as lowering taxes, boosting local production, and capping government debt.
The TNF proposes to implement a novel taxation policy where multinational corporations would pay a portion of their taxes in raw materials. This would give Ghana leverage over its natural resources, ensuring the country benefits from its vast mineral wealth.
The manifesto seeks to restore investor confidence is a priority, with policies designed to make Ghana attract both local and foreign investors.
The NPP intends to build a world-class digital economy by training 1 million youth in digital skills such as
artificial intelligence, robotics, and data analytics.
At the core of MFC’s plan is the transition from a resource-based economy to an enterprise-driven one.
Central to the New Force Movement’s
vision is creation of 8 million jobs over the next decade through
industrializing key sectors like agriculture, mining, and energy.
NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC
CONGRESS (NDC)
NEW
PATRIOTIC
PARTY (NPP)
MOVEMENT
FOR
CHANGE (MFC)
THE
NEW
FORCE (TNF)
[1] ON THE ECONOMY . . . (Cont’d.)
One of the NDC’s manifesto’s flagship policies is the creation of a 24hour economy in a concerted effort to transform Ghana into an export-led economy.
A future NPP government will establish a National Robotics, Engineering, and AI Lab to support local innovation, research, and provide venture funding for tech start-ups.
To stabilize the economy and reduce external
dependency, TNF will build up mineral, oil, and agricultural reserves.
The NDC will create a special “Women’s
Development
Bank” to provide low-interest loans and financial services to at least one million Ghanaian women owned and women led businesses.
The NPP promises to turn Ghana into Africa’s digital hub by supporting FinTech and promoting cross-border financial transactions through mobile money interoperability.
The TNF also proposes the creation of a National
Sovereign Wealth Fund (NSWF), a bank backed by reserves and envisioned as a new “IMF for Ghana”.
Concluding Remarks
There is no doubt that there are a number of important questions concerning the coming elections that would require answers. For instance, can the NPP remain a significant political force after election 2024? What future is the NDC government likely to build given the constraints? Will it break with the current anti-people policy or there will be continuity of the same neoliberal policies in different form? If it will go along with continuity, what will be the character of its mainstream governance?
There are also burning questions relating to the entire electioneering process being piloted by the Electoral Commission. Most citizens, for instance, are genuinely worried over what form the manipulation of the electoral process will take this time. Will it be a recipe of chaos? And what is the likely follow-up uncertainty? There are also the anxieties relating to post-election and period of transition to contend with. Will there, for instance, be immunity for those who criminally raped the country? Or will there be criminal prosecution, knowing fully well the Executive’s packing of the courts; especially, the Superior Courts of Adjudicature6 and the railroading of the administration of justice, in general?
Both candidates have faced economic challenges and corruption allegations during their tenure. Though the NDC is generally seen as more proactive in responding to the problems, the NPP has been criticized for its incompetence and insensitivity in dealing with the problems as well as some of the party’s prominent people in contributing to the problems. Again, the NPP’s focus on education and digitization contrasts with the NDC’s infrastructure-led development. While the Akufo-Addo-Bawumia administration has made strides in education and digital reforms, the government has been criticized for Ghana’s rising debt and suffocating economic hardships. Mahama, on the other hand, left a legacy of improved infrastructure, but his economic record was also stained by energy crises. On the whole, there is likely to be voter apathy especially among the younger generation who seem to have lost trust in both parties. Little wonder that, majority was quick to follow the populist youthful candidate of the New Force Movement.
A number of factors are likely to work against the NPP ticket and party during the general elections in December. The most primary is Candidate Bawumia’s figurative claim that ‘he is only a driver’s mate’ to President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo Addo. Even if it were a tangible excuse to separate and sever himself from the mess of the President’s administration, this admission did emphasise his limited influence as Vice President. The other factor relates to the President’s overt and covert abuse of executive power7 which led to the packing of the courts, politicisation of state and public institutions and the allegations of state capture. The big story is the likelihood of the Nana Addo’s faction imploding in the Osono Family after the general elections. In the event of this happening, it would have confirmed the NPP over investment in its own self-importance and arrogance.
With regard to NDC’s victory at the approaching polls, the dilemma facing the party is whether Ghanaians would be willing to give candidate Mahama a second chance given that a major reason why the NDC lost in 2016 was due to frequent mass power outages (dumsor), harsh economic conditions and perceived economic mismanagement. Ghanaians are clearly frustrated and are calling for change. What does that call mean to the electorate? John Dramani Mahama has taken a more cautious approach in his campaign, avoiding making promises that his government might not be able to fulfil. This is in sharp contrast to Dr. Bawumia of the NPP, who continues to make bold promises. Ghanaians have often shown sympathy for candidates who make realistic promises, as demonstrated in their support for President Agyekum Kufuor in 2000, and also for President Atta Mills, in 2012. John Mahama might also benefit from this Ghanaian large-heart approach.
On 7th December, 2024, Ghanaian voter would be faced with three choices, each of which comes with strings of costs attached. On that singular day, one is expected to make a choice to either progress in life, maintain the current situation (stagnate) or retrogress. Voters need to value the decisions they make because these are the main determinants of the country’s future path towards progress or retrogression. As an Institute, the most valued tickets are those of the National Democratic Congress (NDC), the New Patriotic Party (NPP), The New Force (TNF) and Movement for Change (MFC). The rest are, at best, aberrations.
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